Why There Will Be Plenty of Jobs in the Future — Even with AI
The World Economic Forum recently published an article exploring the profound impact artificial intelligence (AI) is set to have on the job market of the future. This forward-looking piece surveys the evolving landscape of employment, highlighting both the challenges and opportunities AI introduces. Here is a summary of the article:
In the early 1960s, during the information technology revolution's infancy, a group of scientists and activists wrote an open letter to the U.S. President at the time, Lyndon B. Johnson. They warned of a potential divide caused by the "cybernation revolution," predicting hardship for the unskilled and jobless. Decades earlier, a California mayor had expressed concerns to a U.S. President in the 1930s about industrial technology becoming a "Frankenstein monster" that could disrupt manufacturing. Despite historical fears of technology's negative impacts, recent reports from the World Economic Forum and IMF suggest AI could affect up to 40% of jobs globally, with 60% in advanced economies impacted by machine learning. While past predictions of job scarcity have largely been proven wrong over the last 200 years, the evolving job landscape has seen significant shifts due to technological advancements, leading to job losses in certain sectors but overall employment growth worldwide.
Imagining the New World of Work
If you were a farm worker 120 years ago, could you have imagined a world where only one in 20 people worked on farms? Could you have foreseen the variety of new jobs today? Even just 20 years ago, economists might not have predicted 800,000 personal trainers and 2.5 million app development jobs currently available in the US.
Just as in the past, many of us still struggle to envision the new jobs of the future. However, by asking broader questions, we can shift our perspective on job creation. How have the needs of today differed from the past? How satisfied are we with our current options? What new needs or better options may emerge as our society evolves and tomorrow’s idea becomes a reality? These answers may lead to increased demand for products and services that are not even in existence yet but can lead to new jobs we would never have imagined. What can policymakers and government agencies do to support the labor market's transition and the creation of new jobs amidst ongoing changes?
Investing in New Technologies and Jobs
Investing in new technology and jobs is crucial. Small and mid-sized businesses worldwide create a significant number of new jobs. As technology advances, the freedom for entrepreneurs and investors to develop businesses becomes even more critical. A flexible labor market enables swift transitions between sectors and businesses, especially as job roles evolve. Nations with open markets thrive, creating new jobs while those with restricted economic freedom may face higher unemployment rates. Governments can support individuals through reskilling programs and safety nets to navigate the challenges of tech-driven changes. Public investments in digital skills and infrastructure are essential for economic growth today. Embracing new technology requires us to consider its impact on future jobs and industries. Shifting our perspective can lead to AI-driven changes that benefit everyone.
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